Casalarreina vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
YAG
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
RIV
17%
20%
63%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
2%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
6 - 0
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
OYO
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TED
4 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
AGO
29%
26%
45%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CLH
4 - 0
VIL
91%
8%
2%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAX
7%
15%
79%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |