Casalarreina vs CD Calahorra B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
18º
18º
28
6º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 90 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 71 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 55 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 35 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 27 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 2
YAG
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
2 - 0
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 1
AGO
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 4
CDF
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AUT
4 - 1
CAS
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Calahorra B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NAX
4 - 0
CDC
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 0
ARN
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
4 - 0
CDC
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
OYO
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
CDC
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |