Casalarreina vs CD Berceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
18º
18º
25
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 90 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 81 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 73 |
3º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 39 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 28 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
86.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
OYO
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
12%
16%
71%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
7 - 1
CAS
48%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 5
UDL
20%
22%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CD Berceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
NAX
5 - 0
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
ARN
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 0
BER
79%
13%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
CDC
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |