Casalarreina vs Vianés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
18º
18º
18
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 90 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 81 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 73 |
3º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 39 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 28 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
86.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
BER
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
OYO
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
12%
16%
71%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Vianés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 2
VAR
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NAX
1 - 0
VIA
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 1
ARN
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 0
VIA
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 0
CDC
13%
20%
68%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |