Casalarreina vs Alberite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
7º
17º
7º
17
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
5 - 0
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
OYO
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
BER
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDF
28%
24%
49%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
RIV
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
ALB
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 1
TED
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
7 - 0
ALB
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 4
VIA
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |