Gualdo Casacastalda vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ACS
3 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCA
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
GHI
2 - 2
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAS
4 - 1
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
USP
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VMO
0 - 4
USP
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
USP
1 - 1
PIA
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 0
USP
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USP
1 - 1
GAV
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |