Gualdo Casacastalda vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAS
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAS
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
VOL
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VMO
2 - 1
CAS
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 2
GAV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 1
GHI
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 2
GHI
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GHI
2 - 1
MPO
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 2
GHI
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |