Gualdo Casacastalda vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
VFC
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 1
CAS
87%
10%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
SSD
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 0
VOL
81%
14%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VMO
3 - 1
GAV
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 2
GAV
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 0
MPO
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
GAV
19%
24%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |