Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 2-1
Gualdo Casacastalda vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
67.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
TOR
4%
17%
79%
|
31 | 82 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
CAS
0 - 4
GEN
4%
17%
79%
|
31 | 82 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
FIA
2 - 2
SAL
36%
30%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
VNZ
1 - 1
FIA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 1
REG
40%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
RAV
0 - 1
FIA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
FIA
2 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |