Casa Pia AC vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
18º
14º
12
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 6% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 62% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOR
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
SAN
35%
28%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOA
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAM
56%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 4
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIT
12%
22%
66%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |