Casa Pia AC vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
5.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
RIO
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 1
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAS
6%
15%
78%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIZ
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |