Casa Pia AC vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
CAS
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIZ
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ACA
2 - 1
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 3
PEN
5%
11%
83%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 1
MAF
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |