Casa Pia AC vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
CAS
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
VST
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLI
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
4 - 0
OEL
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TRO
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
ARO
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
PEN
22%
25%
54%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
ATL
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |