Casa Pia AC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
VIT
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 1
CAS
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIO
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 1
CAS
50%
28%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
SCP
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 4
NAC
5%
10%
85%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEI
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
NAC
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
LEX
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |