Casa Pia AC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRO
73%
19%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAS
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACV
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
BEN
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |