Casa Pia AC vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAS
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
IDE
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
EVN
4 - 2
CAS
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 0
OLH
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
PIN
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 2
1DE
43%
27%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 2
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 0
MOU
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 0
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |