Casa Pia AC vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OPE
3 - 0
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 4
CAS
19%
26%
56%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 3
OLI
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 2
CAS
25%
27%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
38%
28%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
OLH
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
MOU
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |