Casa Pia AC vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 1
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
CAS
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAC
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
TOR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
1DE
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
MOU
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |