Casa Pia AC vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARM
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 0
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 0
ALJ
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
VIA
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
PIN
4 - 0
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
1DE
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 1
LUS
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |