Casa Pia AC vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
76.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
5 - 1
CAS
95%
3%
1%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
APO
1 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 2
ACA
41%
23%
36%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
FCP
5 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
SCP
4 - 4
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |