Casa Pia AC vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PIN
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 2
CAS
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
LUS
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARM
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 0
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 2
PIN
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
FCC
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ALM
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
FCC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |