Casa Pia AC vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
APO
1 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 2
ACA
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
FCB
6 - 0
APO
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 3
SCP
14%
17%
69%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
13%
18%
69%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |