Campeonato de Portugal Final
Global 0-1
Casa Pia AC vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAS
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 1
CAS
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 0
CAS
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PED
1 - 1
FAF
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 1
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 2
FAF
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |