Casa Pia AC vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
18º
14º
5
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAF
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
1DE
79%
16%
5%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAL
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 2
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 5
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 3
TON
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
BOA
12%
17%
72%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
BOA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BOA
3 - 2
LEX
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |