Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 1-11
Casa Pia AC vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
SLB
9 - 0
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 5
APO
40%
22%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
APO
2 - 3
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SLB
10 - 1
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
SLB
9 - 0
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
59%
18%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
71%
14%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |