Casa Pia AC vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
77.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 4
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 3
APO
49%
22%
28%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
13%
18%
69%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 4
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
APO
3 - 4
SLB
14%
18%
69%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |