Casa Pia AC vs Armacenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
CAN
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 2
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
FCC
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PIN
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 2
CAS
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 3
PIN
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
ARM
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 1
MON
57%
20%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 0
MOU
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 2
ARM
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |