Casa Pia AC vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
VIA
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
SIN
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 4
CAS
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 3
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALJ
0 - 1
SIN
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
ALJ
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 1
ARM
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 1
ALJ
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALJ
4 - 0
VIA
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |