Casa Pia AC vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 4
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
15%
18%
67%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
8 - 1
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 4
APO
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |