Casa Pia AC vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALJ
2 - 2
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
QUA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
1DE
4 - 4
PRA
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
1DE
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
OEL
1 - 3
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 0
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
1DE
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |