Casa Pia AC vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
OEI
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 5
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 2
1DE
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 2
1DE
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
MAF
27%
27%
47%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ORI
5 - 0
1DE
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |