Carugate vs Centro Schuster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carugate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
CAR
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
POL
76%
14%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
CIT
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
CAR
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
PAD
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Centro Schuster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
COB
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 2
CEN
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
5 - 0
REA
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 4
CEN
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |