Caruaru City vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caruaru City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
ISC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
AME
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 0
SSS
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
RFC
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 1
SPO
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
RFC
26%
23%
50%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
RFC
31%
23%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |