CS Cartaginés vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
5º
17
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 42 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 41 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 39 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 38 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 37 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 31 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 20 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
12º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
54% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Cartaginés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
CSC
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
PFC
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSC
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
3 - 1
CSH
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
CSC
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 3
SAN
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUN
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
SPO
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |