FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
28.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
CAR
49%
28%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGD
33%
31%
36%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 1
CAR
53%
27%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
DBN
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDB
32%
30%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 1
RJA
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
TOM
56%
26%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |