FC Cartagena vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 4
FCB
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 7
CAR
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 0
GIM
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 1
UDL
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |