FC Cartagena vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ROD
2 - 3
CAR
15%
26%
59%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 2
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
SRQ
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
SEV
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
LEV
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SRQ
4 - 0
MEL
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BAL
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
MEL
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |