FC Cartagena vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAR
12%
25%
63%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ECI
0 - 1
CAR
26%
29%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
SEV
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SRQ
4 - 1
LOJ
62%
24%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 1
BAL
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 0
LOJ
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 0
LOJ
76%
17%
8%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |