FC Cartagena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SRQ
2 - 0
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
ECI
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
SRQ
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEV
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SRQ
1 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 1
BAL
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOJ
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |