FC Cartagena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 3
CDL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SEV
3 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCF
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAR
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 3
RJA
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 1
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ALC
3 - 2
ECI
32%
28%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 4
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
GRA
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |