Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-6
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
47%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 0
ALC
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
GIR
0 - 2
CFC
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 0
YEC
53%
28%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MUR
2 - 0
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
CFC
1 - 0
HOR
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
ATH
0 - 0
VAD
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
RBU
1 - 1
VAD
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
VAD
0 - 0
LUG
74%
18%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MLL
0 - 0
VAD
52%
27%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
VAD
1 - 1
SSC
70%
21%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |