Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
AGD
0 - 2
CFC
45%
26%
28%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
CFC
4 - 1
LIN
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
BET
0 - 1
CFC
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
CFC
4 - 3
JOV
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
REC
1 - 1
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
MLL
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
CUL
2 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAD
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VAD
3 - 1
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
VAL
2 - 5
LOG
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |