Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs RC Portuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
CFC
6 - 0
CAF
89%
9%
3%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ORI
1 - 2
CFC
37%
29%
35%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
POR
1 - 1
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
CFC
1 - 0
GAN
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
RJA
1 - 1
CFC
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
RC Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
POR
3 - 1
MEL
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
CAD
1 - 3
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
POR
1 - 1
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
AFC
0 - 1
POR
14%
25%
61%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |