Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-0
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
ELD
1 - 1
CFC
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
CFC
1 - 0
AMA
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
GAN
0 - 1
CFC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 1
CFC
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
MEL
1 - 0
CFC
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALB
35%
32%
33%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
AGD
3 - 0
LOR
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 0
SAN
50%
28%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 1
CFC
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 0
GAN
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |