Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-3
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CFC
2 - 0
MLL
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
IBI
2 - 1
CFC
34%
35%
32%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
CFC
3 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
CFC
0 - 0
VAL
75%
14%
10%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
ELD
0 - 0
CFC
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
48%
28%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SLA
0 - 1
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
HER
0 - 1
FCB
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
HER
1 - 2
ATM
33%
29%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
BET
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |