Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-5
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PUL
1 - 2
CFC
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
2 - 2
UDL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
3 - 1
RJA
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 0
CFC
72%
15%
13%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CFC
3 - 1
SEV
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CCF
5 - 0
ELC
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 1
ELC
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ELC
8 - 1
SEV
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 2
ELC
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |