Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-4
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALB
0 - 0
CFC
51%
29%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CFC
1 - 0
ALM
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
CFC
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
CFC
2 - 1
VAL
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
JOV
3 - 0
CFC
39%
31%
30%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALM
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
CFC
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 0
RCF
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
BET
4 - 0
ALM
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |