Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs AD Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
GIR
1 - 0
CFC
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CFC
2 - 2
GAN
39%
30%
32%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
OLI
1 - 1
CFC
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
MME
2 - 3
CFC
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
CFC
0 - 1
UES
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
FAF
3 - 0
MME
50%
25%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MME
2 - 3
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CSM
2 - 0
MME
18%
26%
56%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
MME
2 - 3
CFC
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MME
1 - 0
LOR
65%
22%
13%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |