Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-2
Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
CFC
2 - 1
HEL
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ELD
0 - 0
CFC
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ACE
2 - 1
CFC
33%
25%
41%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CFC
4 - 0
SEV
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
POR
2 - 1
CFC
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ACE
2 - 2
ATB
68%
20%
11%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
GIR
3 - 0
ACE
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ACE
2 - 1
CFC
33%
25%
41%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ACE
1 - 0
ADC
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
CDM
1 - 1
ACE
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |