FC Cartagena U19 vs Kelme Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
16º
12º
35
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
1% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
2 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
ATL
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAR
93%
6%
2%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEV
8%
17%
76%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kelme Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KEL
1 - 0
UCA
47%
26%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
KEL
42%
24%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KEL
2 - 0
ALZ
34%
27%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EFB
1 - 1
KEL
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 2
KEL
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |